Friday, 3 September 2010
USD/GBP - 1.541
Sterling fell against the euro and US dollar yesterday as weaker than forecast housing and construction data added to concerns that the UK recovery may be faltering. House price data showed that house prices fell by 0.9% last month against an expectation of a 0.3% drop. Construction PMI data also came in much worse than expected. This added to the view of many analysts and investors that the recovery that the UK has seen over the first half of the year is not sustainable and the UK will follow the USA in faltering after an initial period of recovery. After a period of weak data, there are also concerns that the new austerity measures will impact on UK growth. After briefly recovering against the US dollar on Wednesday, a German bank was responsible for selling large quantities of sterling which saw sterling fall against the US dollar and drop to a 3 week low against the euro. Ensure you don’t miss out if sterling drops any further by speaking to a trader today.
In the USA, unemployment claims fell marginally from last week coming in at 472,000 – a 6,000 drop from last time. Pending home sales data also showed a surprising jump showing 5.2% more than last month against an expectation of a decline. All eyes are on today’s Non-Farm payroll data. After a shock 131,000 decline in July, the general consensus is for another 100,000 drop in the level of employment this month. The employment rate is also released at the same time. Both of these figures have a market moving effect so get in touch sooner rather than later to take advantage of the volatility before and after the release.
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Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.
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