Showing posts with label UK government. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UK government. Show all posts

Thursday, 22 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 22nd July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.521

Sterling fell yesterday after the minutes from the Bank of England’s latest policy meeting on interest rates showed a dampened outlook for growth. As a whole, there was a lack of confidence from the policy makers as further quantitative easing (injection of money into the economy) was discussed. Despite a general agreement that inflation would stay stubbornly high, the committee felt that the outlook for growth was poor. Against the US dollar, the pound slipped back below $1.52/ £1 and despite a strong start against the euro, the pound fell back below 1.19/ £1. One member – Andrew Sentance – yet again called for a 0.25% rise in interest rates, and some analysts expected that he would be joined by another member calling for increased rates. However, the vote showed that all 7 other members voted for rates (and the emergency funding programme) to be kept on hold for another month. Out tomorrow, there is monthly retail sales data which is expected to show a 0.5% rise. However, this could see an unexpected World Cup related boost. Call in now for a live exchange rate, as rates are likely to be volatile ahead of the GDP figures which are released on Friday.

In the USA, the US dollar strengthened yesterday as strong earnings data from the US stock markets helped drive demand for the US currency. iPhone makers Apple announced stronger than expected earnings and an upbeat earnings forecast, and several other companies also posted strong results. However, concerns over Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s half-yearly monetary policy speech to the US Senate tempered the dollar’s rally as investors were concerned that the recent poor data would impact on monetary policy and see the Chairman go back on the exit strategy he had outlined earlier in the year. Out today, there is unemployment claims data and existing homes sales data. Get in touch now for a live price.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Wednesday, 21 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 21st July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.528

Sterling recovered from Monday’s losses yesterday as concerns over European bank stress tests saw investors taking profit from the stronger euro. Despite starting the day poorly after data on UK public finances came in worse than expected, the pound recovered against the euro and US dollar breaking back above 1.18/£1 and $1.5250/£1. Yesterday morning, data showed that the UK government was borrowing nearly £1.5bn more than expected. This was disappointing for many, who had expected the budget and spending cuts to have had an immediate impact. Falling share prices in the euro zone saw many investors take profit from the euro ahead of stress test results on Friday. This helped the pound recover against the euro. The key data out today is the minutes from the Bank of England’s recent interest rate policy meeting. It is again expected to show that only one member (Andrew Sentance) argued for an interest rate rise – if any more members join him, we could see strength from the pound. Call in now for a live price.

In the USA, the big news so far this morning was the sudden 1 ½ cent drop of sterling against the US dollar in early morning trading. However, this has been put down to a trading error (or ‘fat finger trade’) by a Dutch bank and the pound has already recovered ground. The major news out today is Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s presentation of the half yearly monetary policy report to the US senate. The US economy appears to be losing momentum, so today’s speech will be key. Get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Tuesday, 20 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 20th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.529

Sterling fell yesterday against the euro to hit a 7 week low against the euro as higher demand for the single currency saw investors cut short positions in the currency – particularly against the pound. Sterling hit a low of 1.1724/ £1, as a quiet day for UK data releases left investors trading on European news. Rumours circulated over the weekend that China is looking to bolster its foreign currency reserves with large amounts of euros and a large buy order in early trading saw many investors jump on the euro band wagon. Despite comments over the weekend from Andrew Sentance (a Bank of England policymaker) in which he reiterated his comments that the UK needed to raise interest rates sooner rather than later, traders preferred to wait until the Bank of England’s minutes from this month’s meeting are released on Wednesday. That release, alongside the GDP first estimate on Friday, forms the only significant data this week. Get in touch now to avoid missing out.

In the USA, the US dollar fell against the euro following the optimism over the stress testing. However, the euro levelled out as many analysts are concerned that the results will show that the region needs more help. In addition, the US economy’s poor run of data continued, with a key piece of data on the housing market coming in lower than expected. The NAHB/ Wells Fargo Housing Index fell to the lowest level since April 2009. There is building permit data released tomorrow which should give a further idea of the state of the US property market. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Friday, 16 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 16th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.542

Sterling continued its rally against the US dollar yesterday, hitting a 2½ month high of $1.5393 as risk appetite helped drive demand for the pound. Data in the UK was fairly thin on the ground and the movement was driven by strong data out of the USA. In addition, key ‘technical’ (i.e. mathematical analysis of exchange rate graphs) levels were breached – notably $1.5310/ £1 which has been a technical resistance point versus the November 2009 high of $1.6880/ £1. Breaking this barrier opened the door (from a technical perspective) for the pound to keep going towards $1.55/£1. In terms of fundamental data, there is little out today, but investors and traders are waiting for the first estimate of 2nd Quarter GDP for the UK – out next week. This should provide the impetus to push volatility and see the pound shoot up or drop back down. Get in touch now to ensure you don’t miss out on decent rates.

In the USA, with corporate earnings season well under way, JP Morgan’s earnings per share came in far better than expected. In addition, unemployment claims fell by more than expected with 429,000 people claiming unemployment benefits – a drop of nearly 20,000 on last month. This positive data drove a wave of risk appetite that saw investors move from US dollars into the ‘riskier’ assets of the pound and euro. So far this morning, we have seen this risk appetite drive the pound over $1.54/ £1. It seems set for $1.55/ £1 – call in now for a live price.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Thursday, 15 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 15th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.531

Sterling hit a 2 month high against the US dollar yesterday as UK jobs data came in better than expected. The number of people claiming unemployment fell by more than expected, showing a fall of 20,800 people against an expectation of 20,0000. In addition, the rate of unemployment fell from 7.9% to 7.8% driven by a record boost in part time employment. The data was the catalyst to see sterling jump by nearly 1% to nearly $1.53/ £1 - the highest rate in 2 months. Concerns over the banking sector held sterling back, as the FTSE 100 traded down 0.4%. Against the euro, the pound gained marginally to trade back above the 1.20/ £1 level. However, movement between sterling and the euro has been fairly limited this week with most off the volatility coming against the US dollar. In terms of data, there is little out today in the UK so get in touch to ensure you take advantage of the strong US dollar price.

In the USA, monthly retail sales figures improved, but by a lot less than was expected. Sales fell by 0.5%, but were expected to decline by 0.2%. Import prices also declined by 1.3% - all of which added to the US dollar’s decline against the pound. Out later today, producer prices are expected to decline alongside CPI inflation data which is expected to show a similar decline as inflationary pressures remain low. There is an expectation that the US labour market figures out today will continue to show a gradual improvement. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Wednesday, 14 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 14th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.525

Sterling rose yesterday against the US dollar after inflation data remained above the Bank of England’s target rate. The CPI year on year inflation figure fell from 3.4% for May to 3.2% for June. The Bank’s target rate is 2.0%, and many investors felt that yesterday’s figures showed that inflation is stubbornly high and may prompt the Bank of England to raise interest rates earlier than predicted. Many currently expect this to start happening in the second quarter of next year, but the figures yesterday meant there was speculation that this could happen sooner. As a result the pound recovered by nearly 1% on the previous day, hitting a high of $1.5258/ £1 in early trading this morning – recovering from $1.4949/ £1 on Monday. Out today there is claimant count unemployment data for the UK, which is expected to show a drop of 20,000 and a more inclusive measure of employment is likely to show little growth in the sector. Call in now to ensure you are not losing out to the current volatility.

In the USA, retail sales for June are expected to show a small monthly rise. Retail sales fell by 1% in May, and the trade balance unexpectedly worsened as data out yesterday showed that the deficit had widened by $2.3bn. Get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Tuesday, 13 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 13th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.499

Sterling fell against the US dollar on Monday after concerns resurfaced over the UK’s triple A credit rating. Standard & Poor’s said it was maintaining the negative outlook on Britain’s economy as the challenging spending cuts announced in the recent emergency budget have yet to be made and the economy may not grow as fast as the government has predicted. Despite the recent budget announcement, the government has yet to implement the required spending cuts and this is what concerns the credit rating agency. Elsewhere, GDP for the 1st Quarter remained unchanged at 0.3% and the current account deficit unexpectedly jumped by £5bn. The key data today is the UK inflation figures, which are likely to show a decline from last month’s annual rate of 3.4% - reflecting the spare capacity of the economy. Mervyn King has been saying for some time that inflation will fall off through the year – justifying his decision to keep interest rates and the asset purchase programme on hold. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the USA, the US dollar gave back some of the gains made against the pound. However, the US dollar is still holding firm below the $1.50/ £1 level – currently trading at $1.4990/ £1. Out later today there is trade balance data which is expected to show a narrowing in the trade deficit. Call in now to make sure you buy at the best price.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Monday, 12 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 12th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.497

Sterling slipped against the USD dollar and euro on Friday as the post-election and budget rally seems to be coming to an end. After hitting $1.5141/ £1 on Thursday – the highest level since May – the pound is now trading at $1.4970/ £1. Data showed that factory gate inflation slowed more than expected, suggesting that the recent rise in prices may indeed be temporary as the Bank of England had predicted. Since the election and the emergency budget, the pound has performed well as investors feel that there is a clear plan in place to clear the deficit. However, it now seems clear that this will come at the cost of slow growth and as such sterling has begun to retrace gains seen recently. Out today, the focus is on final GDP figures for the 1st quarter, which is expected to remain at 0.3%. Out next week, there is the 1st estimate for 2nd Quarter GDP which is estimated at 0.7% by many. Get in touch now to ensure you buy at the right price.

In the USA, today marks the start of US ‘earnings season’ – when US companies release financial earnings data to the financial markets. With US data taking a notable turn for the worse over the last few months, many companies could trim their profit expectations. With the world taking the lead from the US economy, the next few weeks could see some interesting swings in sentiment and volatility on the currency markets. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke speaks later today. Get in touch now to avoid missing out.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Thursday, 8 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 8th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.517

Sterling had a good day yesterday, recovering lost ground against the US dollar and euro as a recovery in UK shares on the FTSE stock market helped ease concerns over the fragility of the economy. Data on UK jobs growth was relatively poor and this put a cap on the strengthening pound. Against the euro, the pound was broadly stronger but sterling seems to have lost the post-budget momentum as gains related to sentiment have given way to concerns that the tax hikes and spending cuts will dampen growth and harm the UK recovery. Many analysts are concerned that the government will struggle to effectively implement the spending cuts, with industrial action being a potential stumbling block. Despite these concerns, the pound has strengthened this morning to a 2 month high against the US dollar as sentiment towards the Euro zone improves and investors look to ‘riskier’ assets in the UK and Euro zone. The big event today is the Bank of England interest rate decision. The rate is expected to stay the same and the emergency funding is likely to remain on hold. However, if this does change, there will be considerable volatility. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the USA, there was a lack of data released in the region yesterday, and the US dollar traded on sentiment. Similarly today, there is very little relevant data as the US dollar takes a back seat ahead of a busy set of data from the UK and Euro zone. Already this morning, the US dollar has given away ground to other currencies on risk sentiment movements. Get in touch now to avoid missing out on the best rates.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Wednesday, 7 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 7th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.508

Sterling rose overall against the US dollar but fell against the euro as investors bought riskier investment assets as concerns eased over the global recession. Sterling jumped above $1.52/£1 in early trading as data in the USA came in worse than expected. This left sterling within spitting distance of Friday’s 9 week high of $1.5230 and prompted some analysts to suggest that there is scope for the pound to strengthen towards $1.55/ £1 if the conditions allow it, however this is likely to take some time. The pound fell to 1.1990/ £1 as improved sentiment towards the euro saw investors moving funds into riskier investments in the region. This morning however, data showing a decline in jobs growth has seen the pound lose ground again and in addition, the UK Shop price index has shown a decline in the growth of retail inflation for June. Out later today there is Halifax house price survey data which has been rescheduled to be released today. This data can cause volatility – especially as housing data has disappointed recently. Call in now for a price.

In the USA, yesterday saw the US dollar decline as global risk appetite improved after concerns over the recovery eased. US stock markets were up 2.8% by late afternoon which prompted investors to move funds to ‘higher risk’ currencies – including the euro, pound and ‘commodity’ currencies such as the AUS dollar. However, since opening this morning, the US dollar has recovered ground as stock markets fell overnight following poor US service sector growth. Out later today there is very little data so expect the US dollar to trade on sentiment. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Monday, 5 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 5th July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.517

Sterling hit a month high of $1.5230/ £1 – the strongest since early May – after US Non-Farm payroll data came in far worse than expected and investors dumped the US dollar in favour of sterling. Following the drastic first budget of the new UK coalition government, the pound has taken advantage after a string of lacklustre US data with many analysts feeling better about the UK’s chances of cutting the deficit. Overall the pound finished up 1% against the US dollar, and despite barely holding above 1.20/£1 for most of Friday after the euro performed well, the pound staged a late rally and closed just shy of 1.21/£1. Out later today there is house price data for the UK and also services PMI data that is expected to show a slight decline. Get in touch now for a live price to ensure that you do not lose out on the best exchange rates.

In the USA, the US dollar had a traumatic day after US Non-Farm payroll (seasonally adjusted unemployment data) showed a far worse fall in jobs in the region than was initially expected. Data showed a drop of 125,000 versus last month’s gain of 433,000. This followed a string of poor data from the US over the last few weeks that has prompted fears that the US recovery is faltering. There had been expectations at the start of the year that there would be an interest rate rise by the 3rd Quarter of this year. However, as it stands this looks less and less likely. This is the reason for the poor performance by the US dollar of late. The US markets are closed today for the 4th July holiday, so no data is being released. Call in today for a live exchange rate to ensure you are accurately forecasting for your upcoming payments.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Thursday, 1 July 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 1st July 2010

USD/GBP - 1.490

Sterling had a poor day today, falling back below $1.50/ £1 against the US dollar and dropping by over 1% against the euro back below 1.22/ £1. The reason for sterling’s poor performance was mainly down to the fact that the pound has performed so well over the last few days – especially against the euro. As a result, many speculators that had been betting on sterling strength decided to lock in their profits, which saw funds flow back out of sterling and saw sterling fall. In addition, the pound was hit by weaker than expected housing figures which showed that prices rose by a mere 0.1% on the month. Bank of England policy maker Adam Posen added to the pound’s woes as he issued a warning over the UK economy’s fragility – in stark contrast to his colleague’s rather ‘hawkish’ comments (i.e. arguing for interest rate rises). There is a lot of volatility – speak to a trader now about how Order to Buys can help you target specific rates throughout the day and overnight.

In the USA, the S&P 500 stock market dropped below a key level of 1,040 with expectations that this will drop further towards 1,015. This drop cemented the worst quarterly performance for over a year and has seen the US dollar strengthen as investors move towards the safer haven assets of the US dollar. ADP unemployment data was worse than expected. There is further unemployment data out today which will give a better picture in the run up to tomorrow’s Non-Farm payroll. Call in now for a price, as we could see the US dollar gain further.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Wednesday, 30 June 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 30th June 2010

USD/GBP - 1.503

Sterling hit a 19 month high against the euro yesterday as investors deserted the euro ahead of bank repayments to the European Central Bank. The pound hit 1.2380 as a key deadline looms on Thursday for the repayment of loans made to banks in the Euro zone. Sterling was also supported after the launch of a 30 year gilt (UK government bond) was received well by financial markets. Lending data released yesterday showed that net lending to individuals had increased to £1.5bn but final mortgage approvals fell slightly. Today, we have seen house price data show prices rise by a mediocre 0.1% month on month against an expectation of 0.3%. Despite the wave of positivity that has followed the budget, there are still several issues that need addressing in the UK, and these figures are showing that there is potential for another housing slump. Call in now to avoid missing out on the best rates.

In the USA, with a fairly quiet week so far on the economic calendar, the big news was that consumer confidence fell on the month. A lot of data in the US has suggested that the US recovery is stalling somewhat so a decline in confidence did not come as too much of a surprise. Out later today, there is ADP Non-Farm employment change – the precursor to the main Non-Farm Payroll data and a figure that gives a good indicator of Friday’s figure. Call in now for a live exchange rate and to ensure that you don’t miss out on the best price.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Tuesday, 15 June 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 15th June 2010

USD/GBP - 1.475

Sterling rose over 1% against the US dollar yesterday to hit $1.4803/ £1. The pound jumped after the newly formed Office for Budget Responsibility forecast that government borrowing would be less than expected. The growth forecasts of the previous government were amended down, but this did not come as a surprise for many, as Alastair Darling’s forecast for 3% growth in 2011 had already been heavily criticised for being too optimistic. In addition, the markets digested the ‘hawkish’ (arguing for interest rate rises) comments of Bank of England member Andrew Sentence and the bank’s chief economist Spencer Dale. Both were quoted in articles in the Sunday papers questioning the level of inflation and the sustainability of current monetary policy. Inflation figures released today are expected to show a small drop to 3.4% (CPI) and 5.0% (RPI). This is above the Bank’s target level of 2.5%, and the comments made fuelled speculation that we might be looking at changes to monetary policy far sooner than expected. Either way, yesterday’s volatility demonstrates why it is so important to speak to a currency trader sooner rather than later. Call in now to ensure you don’t miss out.

In the USA, there was little data out yesterday and the US dollar traded on sentiment alone. Risk appetite increased, as Asian markets strengthened overnight and investors bought in to riskier assets. There is some trade data released today including monthly import prices. Yet again we seem to be going from risk aversion to risk appetite on a daily basis – ensure you buy at the right time by speaking to a trader today.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Thursday, 10 June 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 10th June 2010

USD/GBP - 1.459

Sterling recovered yesterday when investors bought back into the pound after analysts stated that the pound had been oversold on Tuesday following comments by credit rating agency Fitch. In the end, the comments made by Fitch added nothing new to what the markets knew already. Concerns over the deficit and a potential credit rating agency have been around since the start of the year, and many investors have been calmed by the aggressive cost cutting measures that have already been announced by the new government. As a result, the pound hit $1.4578/ £1 and was helped along by a strong performance by stock markets as risk aversion eased slightly. The pound is likely to remain under pressure in the run up to the emergency budget on June 22nd as investors remain cautious. There is a lot of data out today, with the main UK news being the Bank of England’s interest rate decision. Whilst it is expected to remain on hold for the considerable future, there could be volatility if any comments are made regarding the £200bn asset purchasing facility. Call in now to ensure you take advantage of any movement.

In the USA, the US dollar fell yesterday as risk appetite increased. There is a fair amount of data out today, with the trade balance expected to show a widening to $42bn. In addition, Treasury Secretary Geithner addresses the Senate on China later this afternoon. There could be some interesting discussion regarding the exchange rate ‘peg’ (i.e. fixed exchange rate) that is in place between the US dollar and Chinese yuan. The US dollar seems to be swinging back and forth at the moment on sentiment – call in now to ensure you catch it at the right time.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Tuesday, 8 June 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 8th June 2010

USD/GBP - 1.447

Sterling hit a fresh 18 month high against the euro yesterday and also strengthened against the US dollar. The pound jumped to 1.2176/ £1 as rumours circulated that investors were moving funds from German ‘bunds’ (government bonds) into UK government bonds (also known as ‘gilts’). The move to UK based investments was attributed to fears over the structure of the euro zone as concerns grew even further that the euro will see serious problems over the coming years. Following a poor start to the week due to risk aversion, the pound also rallied against the US dollar as speculation grew that Prudential had not yet finished buying back billions of US dollars worth of sterling following last week’s failed bid to purchase AIG’s Asian insurance arm. The pound jumped 0.6% this morning to hit a high of $1.4560/ £1 before settling above $1.45/£1. David Cameron spoke today about the long road ahead for the UK economy, but there was little in his statement that the markets were not aware of already, as a lot of his ‘revelations’ over incorrect Labour forecasts have been suspected by a number of analysts for many months. Out today, there is consumer confidence data released overnight. Get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

In the USA, after a strong start to the day for the US dollar as investors moved to buy the safe haven currency, the US dollar gave back ground to most currencies with the notable exception being the euro. With a relatively quiet day on the data front, the US dollar became a gauge of risk sentiment again. The general forecast is that the US dollar is set to strengthen against the pound, and once the volatility related to Prudential has worn off, expect the US dollar to continue to strengthen. Out later today there is some economic optimism data. Get in touch now to take advantage of any spikes in the market.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

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