Showing posts with label David Cameron. Show all posts
Showing posts with label David Cameron. Show all posts

Monday, 7 June 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 7th June 2010

USD/GBP - 1.442

Sterling fell on Friday against the US dollar but hit a 1 ½ year high against the euro as a worse than expected rise in US employment figures pointed towards a slower than expected US recovery. With Europe in the midst of a debt crisis and China looking to curb spiralling growth, many analysts were hoping that the USA could provide the driving engine of a global recovery. However, with the number of new jobs falling 100,000 short of what was expected, many analysts feel that this opens the door to a double dip recession and fresh round of risk aversion and a flight to US dollar denominated assets. Over the weekend, news was released that David Cameron is to state that the UK economy is in a far worse state than he had initially thought. With £6bn worth of cuts already announced, this is a drop in the ocean compared to the £156bn deficit. Following the Prime Minister’s statement later today, expect some volatility on the currency markets. In terms of data, there is little out aside from some yearly retail sales data. Ensure you do not lose out. Get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

In the USA, following Friday’s disappointing jobs report, the US dollar and Japanese yen have both strengthened as investors look for safe haven assets to invest in. With fears of a double dip recession – where growth turns negative after a period of recovery – the US dollar again looks set to take on the role of risk sentiment indicator. Therefore, any negative news in the UK will see sterling fall against the US dollar. In addition, perversely, any strong data for the USA will have the same effect. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Wednesday, 19 May 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 19th May 2010

USD/GBP - 1.432

So the UK parliament met for the first time yesterday following the general election. Some people were sitting next to people they probably thought they would never sit next to ever in Parliament [e.g. David Cameron and Nick Clegg]. But we are in a brand new world after 15 plus years of New Labour and as such everyone was full of smiles and high spirits. Sadly this didn’t flow through to sterling. Sterling had a strange start to the day as consumer price inflation came in at 3.7% which was way ahead of the target of 2% and ahead of market expectations. Initially sterling benefitted but then lost ground as the market realised that interest rates in the UK are not going to increase any time soon [which is normally the solution when inflation is ahead of target] due to our “difficult” economic conditions. Very difficult times for sterling so please call now so that you can properly manage your currency exposure.

The US$ continues to be flavour of the month/year at the moment and is living up to market expectations increasing in strength against sterling and the euro [hitting 4 year highs against the euro]. Not really surprising given the problems in the UK and the euro zone, the US$’s safe haven status and the expectation that the US is leading the western world out of recession. So call now as it doesn’t seem like a good idea to hold off on buying your dollars.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Friday, 14 May 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 14th May 2010

USD/GBP - 1.458

Sterling fell yesterday against the US dollar and euro as the UK’s trade balance widened by more than expected. In March, the UK imported £6.3bn more than it exported and in April this gap increased by more than £1bn to £7.5bn. Exports remained steady and imports jumped, which disappointed the markets. Sterling is weak compared to most major currencies and the fact that this has not encouraged foreign investment into the UK is worrying, but also shows that global demand as a whole is weak. The ongoing saga in Greece could be blamed for a lack of demand for UK goods, but this is likely to continue as the Euro zone looks to curb spending and avoid debt default. Mervyn King hinted that the UK would benefit if Germany injected funds into the economy to encourage spending and ultimately boost UK exports. Elsewhere, the new government sent a clear message of its intentions to cut spending by cutting their own pay by 5% - frozen for 5 years. Whilst this saves roughly £3m (a drop in the ocean compared with the deficit) it is a clear message to the markets. So far, financial markets have welcomed the new coalition. Unfortunately, the pound is in a poor position. If the Greek crisis spreads further, we will effectively lose demand from a major marketplace for UK exporters. Out today we have no real data for the UK, but the currency traders will keep a close eye on David Cameron as he continues to forge ahead with plans for a ‘New Britain’. Call in now for a live exchange rate.

In the USA, unemployment claims fell by 4,000 last month, but this fell short of the expected 8,000 drop. Import prices showed a mild improvement on the month. One analyst made the bold prediction that the USD would strengthen against the euro and reach or go beyond the 1999 entry rate of $1.18/ 1 as European countries are not following budget deficit rules laid down by the Maastricht treaty. The euro’s status as an alternative to the US dollar is in doubt as a result. Out today we have retail sales data for the US which is expected to show a decline month on month. Get in touch now, as many are predicting lower than $1.40/£1 in the coming months.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

Wednesday, 12 May 2010

USD/GBP Rate & Comments for 12th May 2010

USD/GBP - 1.501

Sterling rose yesterday as Gordon Brown tendered his resignation from office and David Cameron became our new Prime Minister, agreeing a coalition with the Liberal Democrats that sees them part of government for the first time in 70 years. After a volatile day, sterling recovered some of the losses against the US dollar that have seen the pound fall to a 13-month low as markets feared political uncertainty following the UK’s first hung parliament since 1974. There are concerns (as there always are with coalitions) that the deep rooted ideological differences between the two parties will lead to the dissolution of any agreement. However, with a rumoured 4 year ‘no-compete’ clause (i.e. an agreement from the Lib Dems that they will not vote against the Conservatives for 4 years) and the galvanising effect that tackling a record UK deficit will have, there is potential for this coalition to work. Although we shall have to wait and see, the initial reaction from the financial markets is good. The pound jumped to 1.18/ £1 and $1.49/ £1 on David Cameron’s appointment. What is next? The focus will now shift to the Conservative ‘emergency budget’ which is expected within 50 days and will outline the details of how the new government intend to deliver spending cuts of £6bn as a ‘down payment’ on the deficit within a year. Sterling was also boosted by unexpectedly strong manufacturing data. Out today we have unemployment data for the UK and the Bank of England’s inflation report. Call in now to take advantage of today’s jump in the value of sterling as it may not last long.

In the USA, the major driving factor behind the US dollar movement against the pound was the UK election. As a degree of certainty returned, the pound strengthened against the US dollar. In other news, the investment bank Morgan Stanley is likely to come under investigation for securities fraud in a similar vein to Goldman Sachs did recently. This could cause uncertainty on Wall Street – get in touch now for a live exchange rate.

Exchange rates change every second - call Smart Currency Exchange for a live up-to-the-minute quote. For individual requirements, visit the SmartCurrencyExchange.com website and for companies visit the SmartCurrencyBusiness.com website.

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